The Islamic Republic of Iran’s use of criminal intermediaries for extraterritorial assassinations and covert violence: a gray zone strategy of outsourced repression
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The Islamic Republic of Iran’s use of criminal intermediaries for extraterritorial assassinations and covert violence: a gray zone strategy of outsourced repression

The Islamic Republic of Iran has employed assassinations and proxy violence as tools of statecraft. Dissidents in exile have been killed, targeted, or systematically threatened, while Israeli-linked entities across Europe have faced repeated attacks. In recent years, Tehran has increasingly outsourced these operations to state-linked criminal intermediaries. This paper analyzes Iran’s approach through the lens…

A Growing Security Threat: Iranian Intelligence Operations in Scandinavia (Part Two: Sweden)
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A Growing Security Threat: Iranian Intelligence Operations in Scandinavia (Part Two: Sweden)

Iranian intelligence operations in Sweden reveal a systematic strategy of espionage, cyber intrusions, extraterritorial repression, and influence campaigns that extend across Scandinavia. Recent cases show Tehran’s reliance on sleeper agents, proxies, and criminal networks, including the Foxtrot organization, to target Iranian dissidents, Jewish communities, and Israeli diplomatic missions. The regime’s activities include infiltration of universities…

Iran’s Impending Leadership Change: Possible Developments After Khamenei’s Death
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Iran’s Impending Leadership Change: Possible Developments After Khamenei’s Death

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has served as Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran since 1989, remains unchallenged as the most powerful figure within the country’s theocratic dictatorship. Now 85 years old, renewed attention is being drawn to persistent speculation about his declining health. As Iran prepares for an era without its leading figure,…

Why Constitutional Monarchy Is the Best Path Forward for Iran

Why Constitutional Monarchy Is the Best Path Forward for Iran

Constitutional monarchy offers Iran a politically stable and culturally resonant alternative to partisan republicanism. Grounded in both empirical research and philosophical tradition, it combines symbolic authority with institutional continuity, enabling national unity without authoritarianism. Monarchs function as neutral anchors above political conflict, often at lower public cost and with greater resilience than elected heads of…

The Iran-Israel War: A Massive Counterintelligence Failure and the Strategic Collapse of the Islamic Republic
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The Iran-Israel War: A Massive Counterintelligence Failure and the Strategic Collapse of the Islamic Republic

The Iran-Israel war, launched on June 13, 2025, marked a historic intelligence failure for the Islamic Republic. Israel’s surprise offensive devastated Iran’s military leadership and exposed deep systemic flaws in its counterintelligence apparatus. The strategic collapse of the regime now raises urgent questions about its survivability and the necessity of regime change.

A Growing Security Threat: Iranian Intelligence Operations in Scandinavia(Part One: Denmark and Norway)

A Growing Security Threat: Iranian Intelligence Operations in Scandinavia(Part One: Denmark and Norway)

This paper explores Tehran’s sustained campaign of espionage, cyber intrusions, political influence, and even assassination plots targeting dissidents and institutions in Denmark and Norway. It argues these are not isolated incidents but deliberate elements of a coordinated strategy by Iranian intelligence—which exploits the region’s perceived vulnerabilities. The report underscores the urgent need for Nordic authorities…

The War That Shook the Islamic Republic

The War That Shook the Islamic Republic

Israel’s surprise attack exposed the Islamic Republic’s staggering military vulnerability, eliminating top commanders and penetrating airspace with impunity. The regime’s collapse in air defense and intelligence is not merely operational, it reflects decades of corruption, ideological purges, and systemic decay. As the war unfolds, six scenarios emerge, including revolt and military coup.

Iran’s Shared Genetic Heritage as a Foundation for Democracy and Unity
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Iran’s Shared Genetic Heritage as a Foundation for Democracy and Unity

Genetic studies show that Iranians, despite linguistic and regional differences, share a deep ancestral continuity rooted in the Iranian plateau. Language shifts have occurred without major population changes, and all major Iranian groups belong to a shared genetic family. This unity supports a democratic and inclusive national identity, where diversity strengthens rather than divides.